Consumer Price Index

Yesterday, I talked about inflation and increasing prices. Economists can debate whether inflation is on the horizon, but all of us can see that many prices are rising. And those percentage increases are greater than the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Common sense and the ways we count our cents demonstrate that the CPI is not an adequate measure of inflation. Ten years ago, I wrote a commentary about the ways in which the government statistic varies from our daily experiences when we purchase goods and services.

The federal government has changed the way it measures CPI many times, but the most significant change occurred decades ago. If you go to the Shadow Stats website, you will discover that if the government still measured CPI the same way it did in 1980, consumer inflation would be much higher.

The lower inflation number is a great benefit to the federal government. CPI is tied to the incomes of nearly 100 million Americans who receive Social Security, food stamps, Civil Service retirement benefits, and much more. Lower cost of living adjustments reduces the government’s financial commitments.

The CPI is calculated by measuring the cost of a basket of goods. Critics point out that certain costs are excluded. The government does this because these costs can be volatile and unstable. The government also will substitute less expensive products when the price rises too much.

Yesterday, I mentioned a few examples of rising costs. Increases in home values in many areas of the country are many times greater than the government’s listed inflation rate. The cost of higher education at many of the top ranked schools is more than double the government’s listed inflation rate.

The list of rising prices of goods and services is long and rising. That is why we shouldn’t consider the CPI as a good measure of inflation.

Little Inflation?

Is inflation on the horizon? The chairman of the Federal Reserve (Jerome Powell) doesn’t think so. He concluded that, “Inflation is not a problem for this time as near as I can figure. Right now, M2 does not really have important implications.” What he is talking about is the M2 money supply, which measures cash, checks, money market, mutual funds, etc.

If you type the words “M2 Money Stock” on a computer, you will see two things. First, the amount of money printed shoots straight up in 2020. Second, you will notice the words “Discontinued.” The Federal Reserve weekly chart is discontinued and only is updated monthly now. That should give you some idea of what may be coming.

In a past commentary, I explained how the consumer price index is not an accurate measure of inflation. Then I realized I wrote that commentary on May 12, 2011. Obviously, it’s time for an update! I will do that tomorrow. For now, let me state that the consumer price index is based upon a basket of goods, which excludes many that affect you and your family.

Look, for example, at the increase in home values in a few areas of the country. In the last year, the Zillow Home Value Index for Austin increased 15.8%, Los Angeles increased 9.5%, Denver increased 7.8%, and Seattle increased 7.5%

Other prices have increased dramatically due to the disruption of the supply chain during the pandemic. Surging lumber prices will increase the price of an average home $35,872 according to the National Association of Home Builders.

Economists may say that inflation is not a problem, but we can all see that prices are rising due to everything from monetary inflation to supply chain disruption.

Woke Corporations

I doubt that the CEOs of major corporations travel in the same circles as I travel. If they did, they would hear the phrase “get woke, go broke.” It appears that a majority of Americans have had enough from the woke corporate culture.

But even if they don’t pay attention to what many of their consumers are saying to each other and on social media, you would think they would pay some attention to prominent political figures. Senator Rick Scott wrote an open letter to “Woke Corporate America.” He hoped they were having fun with their virtue signaling and their attempts to one-up each other in trying to show how woke they have become.

He observed that, “You must have loved the accolades from your elitist, left-wing peers when you took the MLB All-Star Game from Georgia.” He also added, “Never mind that you destroyed working people’s jobs and hurt people who haven’t worked since COVID-19 took a member of their family or destroyed their small business.”

The CEOs might have seen a Wall Street Journal op-ed by Senator Ted Cruz (if for no other reason than the criticism the senator received for writing it). He predicted that many members of Congress “won’t look the other way on Coca-Cola’s $12 billion in back taxes owed. This time, when Major League Baseball lobbies to preserve its multibillion-dollar antitrust exception, we’ll say no thank you.”

They might have even seen the latest Rasmussen survey that discovered that more than a third (37%) of American adults said they were less likely to purchase Coca-Cola products. In fact, a majority (54%) of Republicans and a quarter (24%) of Democrats said they were less likely to purchase Coca-Cola products.

Most of us merely want corporations to focus their attention on developing superior products and services. But stay out of the culture wars and stop trying to be more woke than your competitors.

CARE OF CHILDREN by Penna Dexter

There’s a proposal on the table to dramatically expand the government role in daycare. President Biden says he wants to spend $225 billion on childcare on top of the programs that already exist.

Do we really want America to be a society where the state assumes the care of young children?

The spending is massive. Giving government this role in family life is unwise. In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, investor and author J.D. Vance and Wheatley Institution scholar Jenet Erickson write that “the substance matters more than the money.” They say that a “federal push to get droves of children into daycare” is bad for children and their parents.

Experience and countless studies show that kids from two-parent families exhibit more anxiety, aggression, and hyperactivity when they spend a good part of their days in daycare.

The Biden plan is meant to help low-and-moderate-income families. But the Vance/Erickson column points out that it’s upper-class Americans who “are most likely to prefer a work-family model in which two earners rely on child care.” This is according to a YouGov/American Compass survey which found that poor working-class and middle-class respondents prefer a model with one parent working full-time and the other providing at-home child care.” If people can’t make that happen financially, they prefer to rely on family, church settings, or small privately run childcare arrangements.

In her book, BEING THERE: Why Prioritizing Motherhood in the First Three Years Matter, psychoanalyst Erica Komisar says a mother’s full time presence in the home during as much of those first three years as possible “is necessary to regulate children’s emotions, buffer them against stress, and provide them with a sense of emotional security that lays a foundation for a lifetime of mental health.”

Call me cynical, but I think the Left wants to get its hooks into our kids’ values and loyalties in early childhood. All the more reason to oppose this so-called ‘families plan.’

Reading Wars

Philip Yancey begins with an admission: “I am going through a personal crisis.” He explains that he used to love reading. In fact, he understands that “books help define who I am.” But that is his past not his present.

He has discovered that the Internet and social media have trained his brain “to read a paragraph or two, and than start looking around.” When he is reading an article online pretty soon he is looking at the slide bar to see how long the article might be. He starts clicking on the links and sidebars. Soon he has lost interest in the original article.

We shouldn’t be surprised by any of this. Seven years ago, I was quoting from an article by Nicholas Carr. Since then, he has written a book that I reference every time I speak on the subject of the media or digital devices. His book, The Shallows: What the Internet Is Doing to Our Brains, explains why we don’t read as much and why it is so hard to concentrate. The Internet and social media are retraining our brains. He says, “Once I was a scuba diver in the sea of words. Now I zip along the surface like a guy on a Jet Ski.”

Philip Yancey quotes from an article in Business Insider that studied pioneers like Elon Musk, Oprah Winfrey, Bill Gates, Warren Buffett, and Mark Zuckerberg. Most of them have a common practice known as the “five-hour rule.” They set aside at least an hour a day (or five hours a week) for deliberate learning. The people listed in the Business Insider article probably read as many books in a week or two than most Americans read in a year.

Philip Yancey acknowledges that we are “engaged in a war, and technology wields the heavy weapons.” He is trying to develop what he calls a “fortress of habit” so that he can “resurrect the rich nourishment that reading has long provided.” I recommend you do the same for your benefit and the benefit of your family.

Poverty and Dependency

It was a grand experiment. Declare a “War on Poverty” and years later celebrate a victory. Unfortunately, poverty won the war. The percentage of people in poverty today is just slightly lower than the percentage in the 1960s when the war to end poverty began. People living in poverty now are doing better than decades ago, but we certainly have not eliminated poverty.

Peter Cove has a bold vision. The title of his book is, Poor No More: Rethinking Dependency and the War on Poverty. He contends that the only thing that really helps end poverty is work itself. That was the foundation of the 1996 welfare reform bill but hasn’t been the focus for some time since.

He understands the problem from the inside. He is the founder of America Works, which is the first for-profit, welfare-to-work company. He has created more than one million jobs for welfare recipients through various endeavors.

He concluded that many of the government programs were not helping individuals because they stressed education and training over work itself. In the end, they had very little real world work experience and were still dependent on government largess.

America Works instead offers employment services to state and local welfare agencies with the aim of placing welfare recipients in jobs quickly. Trainers work with clients on the basics: maintaining a businesslike personal appearance, speaking properly, preparing a resume, and showing up on time. Clients quickly learn that success depends on their own self-discipline and their own motivation and effort.

Given the poor success rate of existing welfare programs, you would think that bureaucrats and politicians would be open to new ideas and concrete suggestions from people who have worked in the field. You would be wrong. Many liberal groups seem like they merely want to “double down” on the failed programs. That’s why Peter Cove’s book and ideas deserve a hearing.

Middle Class Finances

A study by the Manhattan Institute explains why it is so hard for middle class families to make ends meet. The author, Oren Cass, distilled his research down in a Twitter post. “In 1984, the typical male worker could cover a family of four’s major expenditures (housing, health care, transportation, education) on 30 weeks salary. By 2018 it took 53 weeks. Which is a problem, there being only 52 weeks in a year.”

Christopher Ingraham wrote about this in the Washington Post, saying “This chart is the best explanation of middle-class finances you will ever see.” The chart shows the annual expenses for a family of four and plots on top of that the median male income. The margin between income and expenses gets smaller each year until the annual household expenses exceed the median male income.

The chart in the report helps to explain why families feel the financial pinch. The cost of basic necessities has increased faster than male income. Until recently we have had a booming economy with a record-setting stock market. But many families are still struggling to bring in enough income to cover housing, health care, transportation, and education.

The research focuses on male earnings because historically men were responsible for providing for their families. In the past, they were often the sole breadwinners. Today they are still seen as the primary providers for their family. Oren Cass concludes that the typical male worker a generation ago, “could be confident in his ability to provide for his family not only the basics of food, clothing, and shelter but also the middle-class essentials of a comfortable house, a car, health care, and education. Now he cannot.”

That is why it has become more and more difficult for families to make ends meet.

Christianity’s Blessings

Whether you are a Christian or not, you are benefiting from the positive impact of Christianity on your life. That is the premise of the book by Dr. Rodney Stark, America’s Blessings: How Religion Benefits Everyone Including Atheists. His book is a perfect response to atheistic professors who criticize America and the Christian foundation of this country.

This book is a natural one for the professor to write since he has talked about the positive contribution of Christianity to Western civilization. Since we live in a country that Stark describes as “unusually religious” we shouldn’t be surprised that many of the blessings that Christianity has brought to the world can be found in America.

He says people who attend church tend to donate more than others. In previous commentaries I have talked about the research by Arthur Brooks that found the same things. Rodney Stark says that: “religious people dominate the ranks of blood donors, to whom even some angry humanists owe their lives.” Christians also “are far more likely to contribute even to secular charities, to volunteer their times to socially beneficial programs, and to be active in civic affairs.”

Religious Americans also enjoy better physical health. They have “an average life expectancy more than seven years longer than that of the irreligious.” In fact, much of this difference remains even after the effects of “clean living” are removed.
Rodney Stark also talks about another topic we have discussed in previous commentaries: the fertility gap. The fertility rate for religious people is much higher than for secular people. He cites Eric Kaufman’s book, Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth? That book points out that when you look at Europe, the population is declining, except in the religious sector.

Despite what you might hear from atheists and skeptics, Christianity has been a blessing to America and the world.

Unhappy Young People

Often when I talk about the “deaths of despair” affecting so many young people, I am asked why are so many unhappy? There are a number of reasons, but first let’s discuss how serious this problem has become.

In the US, the suicide rate quadrupled for young men (ages 15-24) and doubled for young women from 1946 to 2006. Another study found that “suicidal thinking, severe depression, and rate of self-injury among US college students more than doubled over less than a decade.”

Dennis Prager suggests that the reasons for such despair can be put into two categories: loss of values and loss of meaning. The loss of values is easy to document in this country. Judeo-Christian values were important in the founding of this country and important in the maintenance of the republic. Also “middle class values” were important. This would include getting married, making a family, getting a good job, demonstrating self-discipline, and patriotism.

Values were also lost when various communal associations declined. The Frenchman Alexis de Tocqueville explained that the strength of America derived from these professional, social, civil, political, artistic, philanthropic, and religious institutions.

A second reason for despair is lack of meaning. Viktor Frankl in his classic work, Man’s Search for Meaning, reminds us how meaning (or the lack of it) can explain so much about human nature. Poor people can be happy if they have meaning, while rich people who have money, but no meaning, are usually unhappy.

Religious faith can give life meaning. But more and more young people have no connection to religion. The fastest growing demographic among young people are the “nones” (those who define themselves as atheist, agnostic, or no preference).

So many young people today are unhappy because of the loss of values and the loss of meaning.

EQUITY IN EDUCATION by Penna Dexter

Education officials in the state of Virginia are taking a serious look at changing the way mathematics is taught. According to the Virginia Mercury, standardized test scores show that “Black, Hispanic, and low-income students have lower pass rates than White and Asian students.” There’s a proposed initiative to lower the standards so struggling students can succeed. Opponents of the changes argue that the state should take steps to improve instruction for everyone.

Virginia’s consideration of this initiative is an example of the kind of thinking behind America’s decline in essential subjects.

A new buzzword in American institutions �” including in education �” is equity. Not equality, which requires equal treatment, equal input, equal opportunity. Equity, instead, requires equal outcomes.

Syndicated columnist Cal Thomas compares Virginia’s math restructuring proposal to current attempts to remedy “income inequality.” He points out that “there are those who believe ‘equity’ means everyone should make the same and in the case of math, be equally stupid.” The obvious right course is to encourage students who show aptitude in math and help those who don’t. “Promoting equal outcomes in math and other subjects, he writes, “can only advance mediocrity, of which we have had quite enough.”

The nation tried imposing Outcome Based Education back in the 90’s. Parents pushed back. Cal Thomas warns that, dumbing down key subjects will only encourage the exodus from public schools that’s taking place due to pandemic lockdowns.

Paul Peterson, who directs the Program on Education Policy and Governance at Harvard, says, “over a third of students still aren’t going to a classroom every day.” In many urban districts, young children attend class only two days a week. The loss of learning has been devastating for low-income minority kids. Parents are fed up.

In a recent Wall Street Journal op ed, Dr. Peterson describes several states’ recent expansions in school choice programs, concluding that “the choice bandwagon has begun to roll.”

School choice brings the equal opportunity students need.